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    政協委員為新能源產業發展“把脈”

    政協委員為新能源產業發展“把脈”
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    3月10日,全國政協十一屆五次會議就“發展新能源和清潔能源”舉行記者會,全國政協委員張國寶、邵秉仁、王炳華、李河君、牛文元等就我國風電、太陽能、核能等新能源和清潔能源的發展情況回答了記者的提問。委員們圍繞今年政府工作報告中提出的“建立促進新能源利用的機制,加強統籌規劃、項目配套、政策引導,擴大國內需求,制止太陽能、風電等產業盲目擴張”發表了各自的觀點。
      新能源發展成績顯著
      “我認為中國新能源這幾年發展成績是顯著的。”全國政協常委、國家能源局原局長張國寶表示,目前我國太陽能產品的產量已經位居世界第1位。中國出口的太陽能產品占世界貿易額的50%以上。
      不過,在太陽能行業迅速發展的同時,也面臨對國外市場依存度過高的問題。據悉,中國生產的太陽能產品90%出口到國外。
      與之相比,中國太陽能產品需求市場的啟動程度仍然不夠。“目前我國總的太陽能發電裝機量僅為220萬千瓦,與4.5億千瓦的總發電裝機量相比,所占比例微小。”張國寶表示,其中的原因:一是目前太陽能發電的電價遠遠高于其它能源;二是政策配套做的不夠,這需要國家對太陽能發電給予更多的補助,從政策設計上進一步解決上述問題。
      張國寶表示,目前我國風電市場的發展情況也非常好。去年風電上網容量已經達到4700萬千瓦,超越美國成為世界第一。雖然風電發電量僅有733億度,占國內4.8萬億度發電量的比例僅為1.58%,但也減少了3000萬噸的煤使用量,顯示出很好的環境效益。
      國內風電市場迅速發展的同時,也出現“棄風”等問題。張國寶指出,這在風電發展中“只是十個指頭和一個指頭的問題”,總體來講風電發展是比較健康的。
      張國寶坦陳,由于生產風力發電設備的廠家越來越多,也帶來惡性競爭的問題。據統計,目前全國生產風電整機的廠家有60多家,并且存在互相壓價現象。每千瓦時風電設備的價格已經從過去的將近1萬元降至3500元,風電設備企業利潤越來越薄。這在下一步的規劃和政策制定上應注意加以解決。
      全國政協提案委員會委員、國家核電技術公司董事長王炳華表示,我國核電國產化進展良好。在引進消化吸收再創新方面,引進的美國最先進的三代或者三代半的核電技術,目前4臺機組正在建設當中,建成之后三代核電設備和關鍵材料國產化的水平超過80%。同時,我國也在實施自主研發的項目,例如清華大學高溫氣冷堆今年會正式開工建設,高溫氣冷堆帶有明顯的第四代核電技術的特征,具有固有安全性,能夠保證鈾氫類反應堆安全可靠運行。
      王炳華表示,我國有非常好的核電發展規劃及產業配套政策,這些規劃及政策明確了未來發展核電過程中一定要堅持采用最先進的技術和最嚴格的安全標準來發展核電。
      產業結構需要調整
      “發展太陽能有三大好處,即助推節能減排、拉動內需、有助于調結構。目前,我國太陽能發電的裝機量非常少,發展前景非常大。”全國政協委員、漢能控股集團董事局主席李河君表示:“對于今年政府工作報告中提到的‘制止太陽能、風電等產業的盲目擴張’,國家能源局相關人員有一個非常正面的回答,主要是針對光伏玻璃、風電等設備。”
      “這次溫家寶總理在政府工作報告當中提出要制止太陽能和風電的盲目擴張,我理解核心意思是說在發展新能源過程當中一定要堅持科學有序的原則。”全國政協人口資源環境委員會副主任、國家電監會原副主席邵秉仁表示,首先規劃要科學,新能源的發展必須與產業布局和產業結構調整相互結合;其次是發展新能源和改造傳統能源必須相結合,始終把堅持傳統能源的節能減排放在首位。新能源對于調整能源結構起著必要的補充和改善作用,但在相當長時間內代替不了傳統能源。
      “太陽能產業本身也要調結構。”李河君表示,太陽能產業有很多技術路線、很多品種,比如單晶硅、多晶硅產業,現在產能本身有很多,而在5年前轉化率低的太陽能多晶硅本身就沒有意義了,所以也是相對過剩。
      卲秉仁表示,現在新能源快速發展的直接動力來自于營運水平,政府也在進行電價補貼,比如陸地風電1度電補貼0.25-0.3元,而海上風電每度電補貼0.6-0.7元。從現在的實際情況看,由于搞風電利潤比較高,直接刺激了風電的發展。
      “在這種情況下,政府工作報告中講避免風電產業盲目擴張,實際上說的是要有序發展。”卲秉仁表示,這需要進行科技創新,掌握核心技術,在配套上要統籌考慮,而不是一味刺激下游電站的發展,要避免設備制造方面的盲目性。
      李河君表示,目前太陽能發電的發展已經到了分水嶺階段,太陽能大規模替代已經來臨,在替代升級的過程當中技術會起到最主要作用。太陽能產業發展需要兩個要素:一是技術,二是以制造業為基礎。中國的制造業非常有優勢,民營企業在技術研發方面投入也很多,以民營企業領銜的新能源研發技術進步非常快,中國在太陽能發電方面的技術跟外國先進水平相比差不了多少。
      節約能源仍然重要
      “建國初期,我國大概每一年能源消耗總量相當于2400萬噸標準煤,但現在每年達到30億噸以上,這個數字增長驚人。”全國政協委員、國務院參事牛文元表示,今后我國要特別注重新能源的開發和利用,同時還要把節能作為整個發展的主線。
      據牛文元介紹,中國已向世界承諾,到2020年包括所有新能源在內的非化石能源消耗要占到總能源消耗比例的15%。我國傳統的能源消耗是以煤炭、石油、天然氣為主,包括風能、太陽能、核電等在內的新能源消耗比例正逐年提升,但實現占總能源消耗量15%的任務仍很艱巨。
      “我們正努力和全世界各個國家一起實現這個目標,也就是把人口、資源、環境、能源和發展數位一體進行統一思考。節約能源本身就是我們對地球的可持續發展做出的貢獻。”牛文元表示。
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